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Rupee opens week’s trading on positive note, registers gain against dollar

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  • Pakistan rupee closes at 237.02 after gaining 2.63.
  • Local unit gains after successive losses last week.
  • Increase comes after announcement of Ishaq Dar’s return.

KARACHI: The Pakistani rupee gained ground against the US dollar as the week’s trade started Monday after the local unit suffered consecutive losses during several previous sessions.

In the interbank market, the rupee gained 2.63 against the dollar to reach 237.02, according to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), up in value from the previous session’s close of 239.65.

The local currency on Friday — the last trading day of the outgoing week — finally broke its losing streak against the dollar after continuously depreciating for 15 consecutive sessions.

The rupee came close to reaching a record low of 240 against the dollar but was unable to do so after several positive cues despite deadly floods devastating Pakistan’s economy.

Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan (ECAP) General Secretary Zafar Paracha said it seems like the market is responding to PML-N leader Ishaq Dar’s arrival and the announcement of him replacing Miftah Ismail as the finance minister.

Dar will return to Pakistan along with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif in today — after five years of self-imposed exile in London — to “facilitate” the government in its efforts to resurrect a cash-strapped economy by taking over the key portfolio of the finance ministry.

Apart from Dar’s announcement, Paracha noted that the market players were noting political stability as well — after PTI Chairman Imran Khan stated he could return to parliament if the alleged cipher — purportedly containing threatening text behind his government’s ouster — is probed.

The ECAP general secretary also said that the announcement from the World Bank about repurposing funds, the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) plans to help Pakistan, and the Asian Development Bank’s help have boosted hops of the market.

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Amid expectations of economic stability, the PSX soars to its highest level ever, reaching 118k.

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The KSE-100 index soared to yet another record high during intraday trading on Thursday, demonstrating that bulls were still in control of the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX).

The benchmark 100 index increased by 1,359.73 points from its previous closing of 117,008.08 to hit an intraday high of 118,367.81 points.

Given the federal government’s ambitious ambition to overhaul the national economy, traders’ large buying binge coincides with predictions of economic stability in the nation.

The five-year national economic plan “Uraan Pakistan,” which aims to achieve sustainable development and economic stability, was inaugurated by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on December 31.

Speaking to the audience, the prime minister emphasized that the program would offer a path forward for economic development, emphasizing work creation, infrastructure, energy, the digital economy, and the environment.

Meanwhile, investors’ confidence has also increased due to the falling rate of inflation. This is the lowest level of 4.1 percent in 81 months as a result of government actions.

The consumer price index was measured at 4.1 percent last month, down from 49 percent in June of last year, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics. Comparing this to the 29.7 percent inflation rate in December 2023, there has been a notable decrease.

Compared to 2.3 percent in June 2024 and 27.3 percent in December 2023, the wholesale price index was just 1.9 percent last month.

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Pakistan’s exports increased 10.52 percent to $16.5 billion.

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In comparison to $14.985 billion in July-December 2023-24, exports during July-December 2024-25 totaled $16.561 billion, according to PBS data.

In contrast, imports into the nation increased from $26.137 million in the first half of this year to $27.733 million in the first half of this year, a 6.11 percent increase.

According to the numbers, the trade deficit for the months under review was $11.172 billion, which represents a minor increase of 0.18 percent over the deficit of $11.152 billion the previous year.

Exports in December 2024, on the other hand, climbed 0.67 percent year over year to $2.841 billion from $2.822 billion in December 2023.

In contrast, PBS data shows that imports increased from $4.635 to $5.285 percent, a 14.02 percent increase.

Compared to November 2024’s exports of $2.833 billion, the country’s exports increased by 0.28 percent on a month-over-month basis.

According to a report by PBS, the imports increased by 17.44% in comparison to the $4.500 billion in November 2024.

Concurrently, the first five months of the current fiscal year saw a 7.58 percent growth in services exports over the same period last year.

In July-November 2024-25, service exports were $3.274 billion, compared to $3.044 billion in July-November 2023-24, according to PBS data.

Service imports, on the other hand, increased 2.88 percent to $4.425 billion this year from $4.301 billion the year before.

The data shows that the services trade deficit increased negatively by 8.48 percent, reaching $1.150 billion in the current fiscal year compared to $1.257 billion in the previous one.

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To comply with IMF requirements, the government implements new pension reforms.

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With the implementation of pension changes for retired federal government employees, Pakistan has met another requirement stipulated by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

In this context, the Ministry of Finance has released two notices.

The proposed regulations will provide retired workers with a pension equal to their average wage during the previous 24 months.

Every year, the pension will be raised in accordance with the average earnings.

The double pension arrangement has also been eliminated. A retired employee can only get their pay or pension if they return to work for any organization; they cannot get both.

Moreover, eligibility for pensions has been made clear in situations where the husband and wife are both employed by the federal government.

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