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Power generation cost surges 20% year-on-year in Nov amid drop in cheap energy

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  • Higher cost mainly due to decline in nuclear, wind-based generation.
  • Fuel cost for local coal-based generation increased by 55% y/y.
  • Rising cost of power generation added to consumers’ woes.

KARACHI: Amid a drop in nuclear and renewable energy sources, the country’s power generation cost jumped by nearly 20% year-on-year in November as the country relied more on expensive fossil fuels, The News reported citing data from a brokerage house on Thursday.

The average cost of electricity production rose to Rs7.17 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) last month, compared with Rs5.99 a year earlier, an increase of 19.7%, according to Arif Habib Limited (AHL).

The brokerage house said the higher fuel cost was mainly due to a decline in nuclear, wind and solar-based generation, which are cheaper and cleaner than coal, gas and oil. 

“Additionally, the fuel cost for local coal-based generation increased by 55% year-on-year. Along with this, the fuel cost for Regasified Liquid Natural Gas (RLNG) and gas-based also increased by 17% year-on-year and 38% year-on-year, respectively,” it added.

The rising cost of power generation has added to the woes of Pakistan’s consumers, who are already grappling with high inflation and sluggish economic growth. 

However, on a monthly basis, the power generation cost fell 13.2% in November, as compared to an average cost of Rs8.26 in October, when the country faced a severe gas shortage that forced it to use more expensive furnace oil for electricity production.

Power generation in the country dropped 9.8 % year-on-year to 7,547 gigawatt-hours (GWh) in November, down from 8,367 GWh a year ago. The year-on-year decrease in power generation was mainly due to a 32.8% fall in nuclear power output, which stood at 1,572 GWh in November.

Apart from nuclear, the year-on-year decrease was also attributed to a decline in RLNG (21.1%), gas (41.5%), and wind (6.2%) generation. On a monthly basis, power generation decreased by 21.2%, as compared to 9,572 GWh in October.

During the first five months of the current fiscal year (July-November), power generation increased by 1.8 %year-on-year to 61,258 GWh, compared with 60,153 GWh in the same period last year.

In November, hydel was the leading source of power generation, accounting for 36.5% of the generation mix, followed by nuclear (20.8%) and local coal (13.1%).

Among renewables, wind, solar and bagasse generation amounted to 2%, 0.7% and 0.4% of the generation, respectively.

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Dar chairs the CCOP meeting; Blue World’s bid offer of Rs.10 billion is rejected.

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The Foreign Minister/Deputy Prime Minister chaired the Cabinet Committee on Privatization meeting.

Other committee members who attended the conference included the Federal Secretaries of several Divisions, the Ministers of Finance and Revenue, Industry and Food, Commerce, Power, and Privatization.

The CCOP took the PC Board’s recommendation into consideration and suggested that Blue World’s bid of 10 billion rupees for the sale of 60% of PIACL’s shares be rejected. The bid was rejected by the CCOP, who chose to follow the PC Board’s advice.

The government’s determination to sell out PIACL through government-to-government or privatization was reaffirmed by the CCOP.

The CCOP was pleased with the Aviation Division’s evaluation of PIACL’s sound financial standing.

Additionally, the CCOP established a committee, chaired by the Minister of State for Finance, to assess potential transaction possibilities for the privatization of the Roosevelt Hotel and the appropriate modes of adoption in light of existing legal rules.

Prior to its subsequent meeting, the CCOP also ordered that all difficulties be resolved and an agreement for the selling of services to an international hotel be concluded.

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The KSE-100 Index has surged by 790 points, resulting in an all-time peak for the stock exchange.

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The benchmark KSE-100 Index increased by 790 points, marking a new all-time high for the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) at 94,982 points.

The record-breaking performance underscores a surge of optimism and investor confidence in the stock market.

As investors responded to favorable economic signals, the market experienced a significant increase of over 500 points in early trading. Later, the KSE-100 Index reached another record level of 94,786 points after adding 594 points to its upward trajectory.

This positive development comes as the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) foreign exchange reserves saw an increase of $84 million, reaching $11.26 billion during the week ending November 8, according to data released by the central bank on Thursday.

This represents an increase of 0.75% from the previous week. In addition, the nation’s total liquid foreign reserves experienced a modest increase, increasing by $33.7 million or 0.21% week-on-week to $15.97 billion.

In contrast, commercial banks’ reserves experienced a decline of $50.3 million or 1.06%, ultimately settling at $4.71 billion.

Furthermore, the economic team of Pakistan has expressed confidence in the discussions with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Minister of State for Finance Ali Pervaiz Malik, in an exclusive conversation with Samaa TV, claimed talks were moving in a positive direction.

Highlighting improvements in Pakistan’s economic conditions, Malik noted substantial progress over the past six months to a year. He emphasized that Pakistan’s current economic situation has seen significant enhancement, with a reduced current account deficit of only $100 million in the first quarter, a reflection of the government’s strategy to increase remittances and boost exports.

Malik shared that discussions with the IMF are primarily focused on external financing, and while there have been speculations about a potential mini-budget or an increase in the petroleum levy, he clarified that these are currently premature considerations.

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Positive IMF negotiations propel KSE-100 Index above 94,000 points

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As a result of investors’ optimism about the reported progress in the continuing talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) experienced a robust surge.

The benchmark KSE-100 Index of the PSX, which tracks market sentiment, rose 713 points to a new record high of 94,068 points, breaking above the 94,000-point barrier, as the trading session began.

Early in the day, the stock market began its upward trajectory as the KSE-100 Index steadily rose, gaining 574 points to reach 93,932 points. A possible agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) might lead to more fiscal stability and back Pakistan’s economic reforms, which is why investors are so optimistic about the country’s future.

Officials from the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) informed the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Wednesday that the government would not be introducing a mini-budget and would instead continue to aim to collect Rs12,970 billion in taxes each year.

In line with continuing discussions with the Fund, FBR sources revealed that petroleum goods will not be subject to the General Sales Tax (GST).

The fact that Pakistan’s tax-to-GDP ratio has increased from 8.8% to 10.3%, a 1.5% gain viewed as a favorable sign of Pakistan’s fiscal policies, has reportedly pleased the IMF, who has voiced satisfaction at Pakistan’s recent economic performance.

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