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Finance Minister Aurangzeb claims that Pakistan and the IMF are talking about a new multibillion-dollar initiative.

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The South Asian country is drawing to a close a $3 billion loan program with the International Monetary Fund that lasted nine months and was intended to address a balance-of-payments crisis that had put it in danger of defaulting last summer.

Pakistan has started negotiations for a new multi-year IMF loan program for “billions” of dollars, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb said in a Washington interview, with the final $1.1 billion tranche of that arrangement likely to be approved later this month.

Aurangzeb, a former banker who started his job last month, stated, “The market confidence, the market sentiment is in much, much better shape this fiscal year.”

“We really started talking with the Fund this week to get into a larger and longer program for that reason,” he continued.

A representative for the IMF informed AFP that the organization is “currently focused on the completion of the current Stand-by Agreement program,” which is a nine-month program that is expected to be finished soon.

The spokesperson went on, “The Fund staff is prepared to start initial talks on a successor program as the new government has expressed interest in a new program.”

“Third-year curriculum”
Aurangzeb’s journey to Washington will also include attendance at the IMF and World Bank’s spring meetings, which begin in earnest on Tuesday and have two distinct goals: supporting the world’s most indebted countries and aiding governments in the fight against climate change.

The IMF’s revised World Economic Outlook will be released to coincide with the start of the meetings, which bring together academics, representatives from the private sector, civil society, finance and development ministries, and central bankers to debate the state of the global economy.

Allegations of election tampering plagued Pakistan’s February 2019 elections, resulting in the imprisonment and disqualification of opposition leader Imran Khan and the persecution of his Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party.

The unstable alliance that surfaced, headed by Shehbaz Sharif, is currently charged with bringing about an economic recovery through the imposition of several controversial austerity measures.

Aurangzeb stated, “I do believe that we will be requesting for a three year program.” “Because in my opinion, that is what we need to help carry out the structural reform agenda.”

He went on, “I do think we’ll start getting into the contours of that discussion by the time we get to the second or third week of May.”

Keeping the US-China rivalry in check
Pakistan is in a difficult situation as the two nations have started an expensive trade war because of its strong economic ties to both China and the United States.

When asked how the Sharif government intends to handle its commercial relationships with the two largest economies in the world, Aurangzeb responded, “From our perspective it has to be a and-and discussion.”

“The United States is our biggest trading partner, and it has consistently provided us with support and assistance with our investments,” he stated. Therefore, that relationship will always be extremely important to Pakistan.

He was alluding to the nearly 1,860-mile-long China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, which was built to offer China access to the Arabian Sea, when he added, “On the other side, a lot of investment, especially in infrastructure, came through CPEC.”

According to Aurangzeb, Pakistan has a “very good opportunity” to participate in the trade war on par with nations like Vietnam, whose exports to the US have increased significantly as a result of tariffs placed on some Chinese items.

He stated, “We already have a few examples of that working.” “However, we must truly scale it up.”

reform initiative

Pakistan is currently engaged in a privatization campaign to sell off its underperforming state-owned businesses (SOEs) as part of the structural reform package agreed upon by the previous government.

The nation’s flag carrier, Pakistan International Airlines, is the first SOE on the list.

In regards to potential bidder interest, Aurangzeb stated, “we will find out in the next month or so.”

He said, “Our goal is to proceed with that privatization and see it through to completion by the end of June.”

Other businesses may soon follow if the government’s privatization of the PIA proceeds smoothly.

He declared, “We’re building a whole pipeline,” and added, “We want to really accelerate that over the next couple of years.”

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Amid expectations of economic stability, the PSX soars to its highest level ever, reaching 118k.

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The KSE-100 index soared to yet another record high during intraday trading on Thursday, demonstrating that bulls were still in control of the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX).

The benchmark 100 index increased by 1,359.73 points from its previous closing of 117,008.08 to hit an intraday high of 118,367.81 points.

Given the federal government’s ambitious ambition to overhaul the national economy, traders’ large buying binge coincides with predictions of economic stability in the nation.

The five-year national economic plan “Uraan Pakistan,” which aims to achieve sustainable development and economic stability, was inaugurated by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on December 31.

Speaking to the audience, the prime minister emphasized that the program would offer a path forward for economic development, emphasizing work creation, infrastructure, energy, the digital economy, and the environment.

Meanwhile, investors’ confidence has also increased due to the falling rate of inflation. This is the lowest level of 4.1 percent in 81 months as a result of government actions.

The consumer price index was measured at 4.1 percent last month, down from 49 percent in June of last year, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics. Comparing this to the 29.7 percent inflation rate in December 2023, there has been a notable decrease.

Compared to 2.3 percent in June 2024 and 27.3 percent in December 2023, the wholesale price index was just 1.9 percent last month.

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Pakistan’s exports increased 10.52 percent to $16.5 billion.

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In comparison to $14.985 billion in July-December 2023-24, exports during July-December 2024-25 totaled $16.561 billion, according to PBS data.

In contrast, imports into the nation increased from $26.137 million in the first half of this year to $27.733 million in the first half of this year, a 6.11 percent increase.

According to the numbers, the trade deficit for the months under review was $11.172 billion, which represents a minor increase of 0.18 percent over the deficit of $11.152 billion the previous year.

Exports in December 2024, on the other hand, climbed 0.67 percent year over year to $2.841 billion from $2.822 billion in December 2023.

In contrast, PBS data shows that imports increased from $4.635 to $5.285 percent, a 14.02 percent increase.

Compared to November 2024’s exports of $2.833 billion, the country’s exports increased by 0.28 percent on a month-over-month basis.

According to a report by PBS, the imports increased by 17.44% in comparison to the $4.500 billion in November 2024.

Concurrently, the first five months of the current fiscal year saw a 7.58 percent growth in services exports over the same period last year.

In July-November 2024-25, service exports were $3.274 billion, compared to $3.044 billion in July-November 2023-24, according to PBS data.

Service imports, on the other hand, increased 2.88 percent to $4.425 billion this year from $4.301 billion the year before.

The data shows that the services trade deficit increased negatively by 8.48 percent, reaching $1.150 billion in the current fiscal year compared to $1.257 billion in the previous one.

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To comply with IMF requirements, the government implements new pension reforms.

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With the implementation of pension changes for retired federal government employees, Pakistan has met another requirement stipulated by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

In this context, the Ministry of Finance has released two notices.

The proposed regulations will provide retired workers with a pension equal to their average wage during the previous 24 months.

Every year, the pension will be raised in accordance with the average earnings.

The double pension arrangement has also been eliminated. A retired employee can only get their pay or pension if they return to work for any organization; they cannot get both.

Moreover, eligibility for pensions has been made clear in situations where the husband and wife are both employed by the federal government.

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