KARACHI: The stocks at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) plunged Monday as its benchmark KSE-100 lost over 700 points after uncertainty surrounded Pakistan’s political arena.
Investors reacted with panic to the depreciating Pakistani rupee against the US dollar and political uncertainty in the wake of the preliminary results of the by-polls in Punjab.
The market opened at 42,074 points but it plunged by 707.80, or 1.68%, points to close at 41,367.11 points.
Arif Habib Limited Head of Research Tahir Abbas told Geo.tv that “a lot of ifs and buts” have been created as the PTI has cracked more seats than the ruling PML-N in the Punjab Assembly by-polls.
“Following the results of the by-polls, there’s an uncertainty in the market on whether the federal coalition government will continue or will it announce snap polls.”
“If early elections are announced, then it would trigger uncertainty over the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) curial programme as well,” he said, pointing out that although a staff-level agreement has been reached, the global lender’s Executive Board is yet to give a green signal.
Abbas said that one of IMF’s pre-conditions was hiking the gas and electricity tariff, for which the federal cabinet is yet to give approval.
“Now that it (PML-N) has lost its heart — Punjab — it remains unclear what it is going to do next. If the federal cabinet does not approve the hike, then the IMF programme’s revival will remain in danger.”
Voicing the same concerns as Abbas, Alpha Beta Core CEO Khurram Schehzad said that with political uncertainty taking roots again, IMF programme may get impacted.
“Hopefully […] clarity emerges soon before its late,” Schehzad said.
The stocks of a total of 326 companies were traded during the day, out of which 55 were in the green, 253 red, and 18 remain unchanged.
In the international exchange market, the US dollar has continued to weaken in relation to the Pakistani rupee.
The dollar fell to Rs278.10 from Rs278.17 at the beginning of interbank trading, according to currency dealers, a seven paisa loss.
In the meantime, there was a lot of turbulence in the stock market, but it recovered and moved into the positive zone. The KSE-100 index recovered momentum and reached 116,000 points after soaring 1,300 points.
Both currency and stock market swings, according to analysts, are a reflection of ongoing market adjustments and economic uncertainty.
The cornerstone of economic cooperation between the two brothers and all-weather friends is still the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, the initiative’s flagship project.
In contrast to reports of a slowdown, recent events indicate a renewed vigour and strategic emphasis on pushing the second phase of CPEC, known as CPEC Phase-2, according to the Ministry of Planning, Development, and Special Initiatives.
According to the statement, this crucial stage seeks to reshape the foundation of bilateral ties via increased cooperation, cutting-edge technology transfer, and revolutionary socioeconomic initiatives.
Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal is leading Pakistan’s participation in a number of high-profile gatherings in China, such as the 3rd Forum on China-Indian Ocean Region Development Cooperation in Kunming and the High-Level Seminar on CPEC-2 in Beijing.
His involvement demonstrates Pakistan’s commitment to reviving CPEC, resolving outstanding concerns, and developing a strong phase-2 roadmap that considers both countries’ long-term prosperity.
At the core of these interactions is China’s steadfast determination to turn CPEC into a strategic alliance that promotes development, progress, and connectivity.
Instead of being marginalised, CPEC is developing into a multifaceted framework with five main thematic corridors: the Opening-Up/Regional Connectivity Corridor, the Innovation Corridor, the Green Corridor, the Growth Corridor, and the Livelihood-Enhancing Corridor.
With the help of projects like these, the two countries will fortify their partnership, and CPEC phase-2 will become a model of global economic integration and collaboration that benefits not just China and Pakistan but the entire region.
On December 2, core inflation as determined by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) significantly slowed, falling to 4.9% in November 2024 from 7.2 percent in October 2024.
The CPI-based inflation rate for the same month last year (November 2023) was 29.2%, according to PBS data.
Compared to a 1.2% gain in the prior month, it increased by 0.5% month over month in November 2024.