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Rupee continues downward spiral for third straight session

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  • The Pakistani rupee continues to fall for the third session in a row in the interbank trade today.
  • The local currency eased by Re0.22 or 0.10% versus the dollar to close at 221.91 compared to Monday’s close of 221.69.
  • “Rising dollar demand, foreign funding drought and political ferment weighed on the rupee,” says a currency dealer.

KARACHI: The Pakistani rupee maintained its downward trend against the US dollar for the third consecutive session in the interbank market on Tuesday.

The local unit eased by Re0.22 or 0.10% versus the dollar to close at 221.91 compared to Monday’s close of 221.69, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) data showed.

Traders pinned this downtrend to lean foreign exchange reserves amid rising imports, while the decline was also attributed to an increase in demand for the greenback from importers.

“Rising dollar demand, foreign funding drought, increase in country’s default risk, and political ferment weighed on the rupee,” said a currency dealer.

Moreover, the postponement of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman’s visit to Pakistan and the rescheduling of talks between the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Islamabad for the completion of the ninth review of the IMF’s bailout package hurt investor sentiment.

Dealers expect the rupee to remain range-bound in the coming sessions, depending on the demand and supply of the dollars in the market.

As of November 4, the forex reserves held by the SBP fell by $956 million.

As a result, reserves held by the central bank have fallen to as low as $7.9 billion, enough to cover less than six weeks of imports. The reserves declined on external debt servicing, according to the SBP.

Remittances from abroad dropped by 8.6% to $9.9 billion in the first four months of the current fiscal year. In October, the cash transfers fell to $2.2 billion, a 15.7% decrease from a year earlier. In October, remittances have fallen by 9.1% month-on-month.

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In interbank trade, the Pakistani rupee beats the US dollar.

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In the international exchange market, the US dollar has continued to weaken in relation to the Pakistani rupee.

The dollar fell to Rs278.10 from Rs278.17 at the beginning of interbank trading, according to currency dealers, a seven paisa loss.

In the meantime, there was a lot of turbulence in the stock market, but it recovered and moved into the positive zone. The KSE-100 index recovered momentum and reached 116,000 points after soaring 1,300 points.

Both currency and stock market swings, according to analysts, are a reflection of ongoing market adjustments and economic uncertainty.

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Phase II of CPEC: China-Pakistan Partnership Enters a New Era

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The cornerstone of economic cooperation between the two brothers and all-weather friends is still the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, the initiative’s flagship project.

In contrast to reports of a slowdown, recent events indicate a renewed vigour and strategic emphasis on pushing the second phase of CPEC, known as CPEC Phase-2, according to the Ministry of Planning, Development, and Special Initiatives.

According to the statement, this crucial stage seeks to reshape the foundation of bilateral ties via increased cooperation, cutting-edge technology transfer, and revolutionary socioeconomic initiatives.

Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal is leading Pakistan’s participation in a number of high-profile gatherings in China, such as the 3rd Forum on China-Indian Ocean Region Development Cooperation in Kunming and the High-Level Seminar on CPEC-2 in Beijing.

His involvement demonstrates Pakistan’s commitment to reviving CPEC, resolving outstanding concerns, and developing a strong phase-2 roadmap that considers both countries’ long-term prosperity.

At the core of these interactions is China’s steadfast determination to turn CPEC into a strategic alliance that promotes development, progress, and connectivity.

Instead of being marginalised, CPEC is developing into a multifaceted framework with five main thematic corridors: the Opening-Up/Regional Connectivity Corridor, the Innovation Corridor, the Green Corridor, the Growth Corridor, and the Livelihood-Enhancing Corridor.

With the help of projects like these, the two countries will fortify their partnership, and CPEC phase-2 will become a model of global economic integration and collaboration that benefits not just China and Pakistan but the entire region.

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The inflation rate in Pakistan dropped to its lowest level.

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On December 2, core inflation as determined by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) significantly slowed, falling to 4.9% in November 2024 from 7.2 percent in October 2024.

The CPI-based inflation rate for the same month last year (November 2023) was 29.2%, according to PBS data.

Compared to a 1.2% gain in the prior month, it increased by 0.5% month over month in November 2024.

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