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Punjab govt blames LHC stay orders for sugar crisis

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  • Stay orders preventing acquisition of sugar mills’ record, CM told.
  • Sugar hoarders enjoying free rein due to stay orders, food secretary says.
  • CM Naqvi tells Punjab advocate general to appeal cancellation of orders.

LAHORE: As the price of sweetener continued setting new record, the Punjab government has blamed the Lahore High Court stay orders for the crisis, which halted the implementation of the sweetener’s notified cost and averted monitoring of its supply chain, The News reported.

In a meeting of the provincial cabinet — chaired by Caretaker Chief Minister Punjab Mohsin Naqvi on Tuesday — regarding sugar prices, the Punjab food secretary mentioned that the court’s stay orders have prevented the acquisition of the records of sugar mills.

The Punjab government has, in response, decided to take prompt action and file an appeal for cancellation of the stay orders. The advocate general of Punjab has been directed by the chief minister to urgently initiate the appeal so that there is stability in the price of sugar.

Sugar hoarders, according to the discussion during the meeting, have been enjoying free rein due to the stay orders, which has led to a considerable rise in the prices of the commodity, making it inaccessible for the common man.

According to an official brief dated September 5, 2023, the stay order — issued on May 4, 2023, and August 15, 2023 — paved the way for the price escalation of sugar. The dates of stay orders were extended on one ground or another. The August 15 stay order prevented the provincial government from monitoring the sugar supply chain, which, according to the government, led to its smuggling to Afghanistan.

In the meanwhile, the sugar mills and speculators were charging Rs180 per kilogram against a very fair and notified retail price of around Rs100/kg. Since May 4, 2023 till date, around 1.4 million metric tons of sugar have been sold by the sugar mills at an average of an additional Rs40per kg.

The sugar mills and the brokers/dealers/speculators have thus extorted Rs55 to Rs56 billion extra amount solely because of the stay orders, the brief states. The stay order against monitoring of the supply chain of sugar prevented the provincial authorities from checking the movement of sugar and its smuggling to Afghanistan, the Punjab government claimed.

It is recalled in the official brief that during this crushing season, a total of 7.730 million metric tons of sugar, including carry-over stocks were produced out of which 5. 32 million metric tonne stocks were in Punjab. The Punjab stocks were sufficient to cater to the needs of the ‘integrated region’ comprising the Punjab. Islamabad Capital Territory (ICT), partially Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Azad Jammu and Kashmir and Gilgit Baltistan. Historically, Punjab caters to this region in this connection.

On April 20, 2023, the Federal Ministry of National Food Security and Research (MNFS&R) notified an ex-mill price of Rs96.08/kg and a retail price of Rs99.33/kg for Punjab. However, this notification was suspended by the court on May 4, 2023 on the contention that the subject of price fixation was provincial, the government maintained. The next date of hearing has been fixed for September 20, 2023.

Taking a leeway from the judgment, the food department moved a summary for the provincial cabinet and powers of fixation of sugar were delegated to the Cane Commissioner Punjab by the Cabinet through the Punjab Foodstuffs (Sugar) Order, 2023.

Subsequently, the Cane Commissioner started the process of determining of ex-mill sugar price. However, the LHC issued a stay order against price fixation on August 1, 2023. The case was fixed for today (Tuesday, September 5). However, the cane commissioner, who was present during the hearing, telephonically informed that the stay order had not been vacated and the case was referred to a division bench.

According to Punjab’s assessment in a fact-finding report, around 0.7 million tonnes of sugar have been smuggled through western borders. Owing to various factors, the flow of this sugar could not be stopped. The sugar price is being increased at will by the stakeholders. They deserve the strictest possible action.

It was observed that smuggling has depleted the strategic reserves of sugar in the country and particularly in the Punjab. These reserves were meant to meet the shortage of sugar in the coming year. There is 17% decrease in the cultivation of standing sugarcane crop. Next year, Pakistan may have to spend considerable foreign exchange on the import of sugar. This is a conspicuous writing on the wall.

The nexus of sugar millers and the brokers (each mill has five to six brokers who further sell sugar to dealers in the country) is responsible for price escalation. Pakistan had enough sugar this year. But keeping in view higher international prices, the sugar millers started smuggling sugar to Afghanistan.

Sugar price is escalated by the brokers through various WhatsApp groups. The sugar changes hands while lying in the mills and its price is skyrocketing like anything. Each new buyer adds up from Rs5 to Rs20 per kg. This process is supported by the sugar mills as their sugar too gets costlier without spending even a single penny, an official brief finds.

The situation of sugar availability is aggravating day by day and it is apprehended that the price will further go up. In other provinces, there will be an acute shortage of sugar and prices will be higher. There is an urgent need to check this worsening situation.

Brief recommended steps to get the stay orders vacated at the earliest otherwise the crisis would deepen. Without a notified price, the food department and the district administration cannot check hoarding or control prices.

The brief also recommended detaining the speculators/brokers, who have virtually played havoc with the sugar market, under MPO, which provides for such an action. Through our sources, detail of some speculators has been gathered and shared with the brief. There are still many others. Intelligence agencies may be tasked to unearth such speculation rackets, the official fact-finding report concluded.

Commenting on the Punjab government’s meeting and its outcome, a market observer said the government’s reservations about the stay orders may have some weight, but putting the entire blame on the stay orders is not fair. The stay orders did not restrain the district administration or border authorities from checking sugar at places away from mills or its smuggling, he maintained.

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Positive IMF negotiations propel KSE-100 Index above 94,000 points

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As a result of investors’ optimism about the reported progress in the continuing talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) experienced a robust surge.

The benchmark KSE-100 Index of the PSX, which tracks market sentiment, rose 713 points to a new record high of 94,068 points, breaking above the 94,000-point barrier, as the trading session began.

Early in the day, the stock market began its upward trajectory as the KSE-100 Index steadily rose, gaining 574 points to reach 93,932 points. A possible agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) might lead to more fiscal stability and back Pakistan’s economic reforms, which is why investors are so optimistic about the country’s future.

Officials from the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) informed the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Wednesday that the government would not be introducing a mini-budget and would instead continue to aim to collect Rs12,970 billion in taxes each year.

In line with continuing discussions with the Fund, FBR sources revealed that petroleum goods will not be subject to the General Sales Tax (GST).

The fact that Pakistan’s tax-to-GDP ratio has increased from 8.8% to 10.3%, a 1.5% gain viewed as a favorable sign of Pakistan’s fiscal policies, has reportedly pleased the IMF, who has voiced satisfaction at Pakistan’s recent economic performance.

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Provinces must inform IMF team of the postponed legislation for 45% agricultural tax.

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The visiting International Monetary Fund (IMF) delegation is scheduled to meet with provincial government leaders today to examine progress in implementing a tax on agricultural income of up to 45% and discuss the execution of other fiscal policies.

The agricultural income tax was to go into effect on January 1, 2025, after the provincial governments were given until October 31 to pass the necessary legislation. Nevertheless, the deadline was missed by every single province.

Rumor has it that neither Sindh nor Balochistan have moved forward with the tax on agricultural income bill, despite approval from the Punjab government and a draft being developed in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

All four provinces have signed the National Fiscal Pact as per the conditions set by the IMF. The reason(s) for the delays will be explained to the IMF delegation.

Federal spending on things like healthcare, social security, and regional infrastructure development is expected to be transferred to the provinces under the IMF agreement, according to sources from the Ministry of Finance. Provincial governments have been singled out by the IMF delegation as key players in tax and economic reform efforts.

Reviewed Here: FBR Excludes Mini-Budget and GST on Petrol from IMF Negotiations

The provincial budget surplus targets will also be briefed to the IMF delegation, according to the sources. The four provinces were supposed to achieve a total surplus of Rs342 billion in the first quarter, but they only managed to manage Rs182 billion. A large portion of the deficit was caused by the Rs160 billion budget deficit in Punjab.

The government’s pledge to retain the annual tax target of Rs12,970 billion was reaffirmed by the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) on Wednesday, who also confirmed that no mini-budget will be implemented.

In line with continuing discussions with the IMF, FBR sources have also said that petroleum goods will not be subject to the General Sales Tax (GST).

According to sources, the International Monetary Fund has voiced its approval of Pakistan’s recent economic performance, highlighting the country’s improved fiscal policies, which have led to a 1.5% increase in the tax-to-GDP ratio, from 8.8% to 10.3%.

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Petrol prices are expected to experience another increase in Pakistan.

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The inflation-affected nation is expected to encounter another increase in petrol prices, with recommendations indicating a rise of Rs. 2.58 per litre for petrol and Rs. 5.91 per litre for high-speed diesel.

Sources indicate that, if sanctioned, petrol prices will ascend to Rs. 250.96 per litre, whereas high-speed diesel will be priced at Rs. 261.05 per litre.

Sources indicated that the suggested increase is due to the elevated premium on petroleum products in the worldwide market and rising import expenses.

The premium on imported petroleum products has increased, leading the government to contemplate pricing modifications effective November 16, sources indicated.

On October 31, the federal government published the prices of petroleum products for the upcoming fortnight, increasing the prices of petrol and high-speed diesel.

A notification announced an increase in petrol price by Rs 1.35, raising it to Rs 248.38 a litre. The price of high-speed diesel was fixed at Rs 255.14 per litre after an increase of Rs 3.85.

Also read: Pakistan’s weekly inflation jumps to 15.02pc

Simultaneously, the costs of light diesel and kerosene oil were reduced. The statement states that kerosene oil is priced at Rs 148.5 per litre following a reduction of Rs 4.92.

The cost of light fuel was reduced by Rs 2.61 to Rs 147.51 per litre.

The rampant hike in the prices came at the time when the weekly inflation, measured by the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI), witnessed an increase of 0.28 percent for the combined consumption groups during the week ended on October 17, the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) reported.

According to the PBS data, the SPI for the week under review in the above-mentioned group was recorded at 319.79 points as compared to 318.91 points during the past week.

In comparison to the same week last year, the SPI for the combined consumption group during the reviewed week experienced a 15.02 percent increase.

The weekly SPI with the base year 2015-16 =100 covers 17 urban centres and 51 essential items for all expenditure groups.

Likewise, SPI for the lowest consumption group of up to Rs 17,732 witnessed increase of 0.27 percent and went up to 313.74 points from last week’s 312.91 points.

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