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PSX weekly review: KSE-100 index posts highest weekly gain in two years

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  • Benchmark KSE-100 index surges 4.9% during the week.
  • Gains come on the back of clarity on the political front.
  • A weekly rally of a similar extent was last witnessed in April 2020.

KARACHI: The outgoing week proved to be an outstanding one for the stock market as it recorded phenomenal gains on the back of clarity on the political front.

The KSE-100 index surged 4.9%, marking the highest week-on-week increase in two years, to settle at 46,601 points. A weekly rally of a similar extent was last witnessed in April 2020.

In the outgoing week, the market roared back after political clarity emerged. Following Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s oath-taking ceremony, the new coalition government began work to tackle the economy.

Moreover, the rupee recovered against the dollar at a rapid pace, marking a 3.6% appreciation. Additionally, the country received record-high remittances this month clocking in at $28.3 billion, showing a 28% increase month-on-month, on account of Ramadan and Eid.

Other major developments during the week were: SBP’s reserves slip below $11 billion, banks approved Rs180 billion in housing loans, Pakistan Telecommunication Authority (PTA) renewed mobile operator licence for $486 million, cars’ sales surged 53.78% in nine months, Rs1 billion Islamic finance facility for renewable energy power plants, weekly inflation witnessed the biggest rise since November.

Meanwhile, foreign buying was witnessed this week, clocking in at $1.29 million against a net sell of $3.78 million recorded last week. Buying was witnessed in technology ($2.21 million), and fertiliser ($1.16 million).

On the domestic front, major selling was reported by a mutual fund ($9.89 million), followed by insurance companies ($7.76 million).

During the week under review, average volumes clocked in at 477 million shares (up by 213% week-on-week), while average value trade settled at $66.3 million (up by 135.6% week-on-week).

Major gainers and losers of the week

Sector-wise positive contributions came from commercial banks (+395 points), fertiliser (+292 points), technology and communication (+268 points), cement (+241 points), and refinery (+129 points). On the flip side, negative contributions came from real estate investment trust (-2.19 points), and vanaspati and allied industries (-1.55 points).

Scrip-wise major gainers were Engro Corporation (+152 points), TRG Pakistan (+136 points), Meezan Bank (+122 points), HBL (+85 points) and Systems Limited (+80 points). Meanwhile, major losers were Colgate-Palmolive (-14 points), Faysal Bank (-10.88 points), Fatima Fertilisers (-4.74 points), Allied Bank (-3.18 points), and Dolmen City REIT (-2.19 points).

Outlook for next week

A report from AHL predicted: “We expect the market to remain positive in the upcoming week. With the commencement of the result season and clarity on the political front, certain sectors and scrips are expected to stay under the limelight.”

“Furthermore, we are expecting the rollover of Chinese loans worth $2.3 billion and IMF negotiations, will help bolster our foreign exchange reserves.,” it said, adding that any dip in oil prices should also have a positive impact on the equity bourse.

“The KSE-100 is currently trading at a PER of 5.0x (2022) compared to the Asia-Pacific regional average of 11.5x while offering a dividend yield of 8.3% versus 2.6% offered by the region,” the brokerage house stated.

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With its second-largest surge ever, PSX approaches 114,000 points.

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Driven by renewed activity from both private and government financial institutions, the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) saw its second-largest rally in history on Monday.

The market regained many important levels in a single trading session as it rose with previously unheard-of momentum.

Intraday trading saw a top increase of 4,676 points, and the PSX’s benchmark KSE-100 Index gained 4,411 points to settle at 113,924 points. This impressive rebound demonstrated significant investor confidence by reestablishing the 100,000, 111,000, 112,000, and 113,000-point levels.

The market also saw the 114,000-point limit reestablished during the trading session.

The positive tendency was reflected when the market’s heavyweight shares touched its upper circuits. Among the most busiest trading sessions in recent memory, an astounding 85.78 billion shares worth a total of Rs55 billion were exchanged.

Experts credited the spike to heightened institutional investor activity and hope for macroeconomic recovery. Considered a major market recovery, the rally demonstrated the market’s tenacity and development potential.

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In interbank trade, the Pakistani rupee beats the US dollar.

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In the international exchange market, the US dollar has continued to weaken in relation to the Pakistani rupee.

The dollar fell to Rs278.10 from Rs278.17 at the beginning of interbank trading, according to currency dealers, a seven paisa loss.

In the meantime, there was a lot of turbulence in the stock market, but it recovered and moved into the positive zone. The KSE-100 index recovered momentum and reached 116,000 points after soaring 1,300 points.

Both currency and stock market swings, according to analysts, are a reflection of ongoing market adjustments and economic uncertainty.

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Phase II of CPEC: China-Pakistan Partnership Enters a New Era

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The cornerstone of economic cooperation between the two brothers and all-weather friends is still the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, the initiative’s flagship project.

In contrast to reports of a slowdown, recent events indicate a renewed vigour and strategic emphasis on pushing the second phase of CPEC, known as CPEC Phase-2, according to the Ministry of Planning, Development, and Special Initiatives.

According to the statement, this crucial stage seeks to reshape the foundation of bilateral ties via increased cooperation, cutting-edge technology transfer, and revolutionary socioeconomic initiatives.

Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal is leading Pakistan’s participation in a number of high-profile gatherings in China, such as the 3rd Forum on China-Indian Ocean Region Development Cooperation in Kunming and the High-Level Seminar on CPEC-2 in Beijing.

His involvement demonstrates Pakistan’s commitment to reviving CPEC, resolving outstanding concerns, and developing a strong phase-2 roadmap that considers both countries’ long-term prosperity.

At the core of these interactions is China’s steadfast determination to turn CPEC into a strategic alliance that promotes development, progress, and connectivity.

Instead of being marginalised, CPEC is developing into a multifaceted framework with five main thematic corridors: the Opening-Up/Regional Connectivity Corridor, the Innovation Corridor, the Green Corridor, the Growth Corridor, and the Livelihood-Enhancing Corridor.

With the help of projects like these, the two countries will fortify their partnership, and CPEC phase-2 will become a model of global economic integration and collaboration that benefits not just China and Pakistan but the entire region.

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