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Govt to borrow record Rs11.1 trillion in FY24 first quarter

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1 year ago

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  • Govt to raise Rs8.70 trillion via short-term paper auctions.
  • PIBs to allow govt to borrow Rs1.68 tn from commercial banks.
  • Markup expenses budgeted at Rs7.3 trillion for FY24.

KARACHI: As the government grapples with a ballooning budget deficit and a sluggish economy, the central bank’s auction calendar shows it plans to borrow a record Rs11.1 trillion rupees through treasury bills and bonds in the July-September quarter, The News reported Friday.

Most planned borrowing for the first quarter of FY24 will be done through Market Treasury Bills with maturities of three, six, and 12 months. 

According to the auction calendar issued by the central bank on Thursday, the government will raise Rs8.70 trillion via short-term paper auctions.

The sale of Pakistan Investment Bonds (PIBs) with fixed and floating rates will allow the government to borrow Rs1.68 trillion from commercial banks. 

It will borrow Rs450 billion via variable rental rate and Rs270 billion via fixed rate government of Pakistan Ijara Sukuk.

During July-September FY24, T-bills and PIBs worth Rs9.6 trillion will mature.

According to the Ministry of Finance, the federal budget deficit increased by more than Rs3.5 trillion in the first nine months of the current fiscal year due to a sharp increase in spending on debt servicing and defence requirements, which accounted for two-thirds of all expenditures.

Markup expenses have been budgeted at Rs7.3 trillion for FY24, up 85% from a year earlier. 

Markup expenses are expected to grow on the back of higher interest rates that have been increased to tame inflation, along with higher borrowings by the government to plug fiscal deficit.

Due to the government’s expanding demand for funding, public debt is accumulating more quickly, and the stalled International Monetary Fund (IMF) Extended Fund Facility (EEF) — which expired on June 30 — dried foreign currency inflows. 

Moreover, given poor revenue and high expenditure demands, the government was forced to increase its domestic debt.

The federal government’s debt increased 32% year-on-year to Rs58.962 trillion at the end of May. 

At the end of May, the domestic debt surged by 28% year-on-year to Rs37.1 trillion. 

Domestic debt rose by 19.2% during the 11 months of FY2023.

Similarly, foreign debt increased sharply by 40% to Rs21.9 trillion in May, while it grew by 31% in FY2023.

Last week, the government reached a staff-level agreement with the IMF for a $3 billion standby arrangement. 

The eight-month delay in the agreement, awaiting IMF board approval in July, gives Pakistan some relief as it struggles with a severe balance of payments crisis and declining foreign exchange reserves. 

The IMF agreement has reduced the nation’s risk of a short-term default.

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Business

Dar chairs the CCOP meeting; Blue World’s bid offer of Rs.10 billion is rejected.

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20 hours ago

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The Foreign Minister/Deputy Prime Minister chaired the Cabinet Committee on Privatization meeting.

Other committee members who attended the conference included the Federal Secretaries of several Divisions, the Ministers of Finance and Revenue, Industry and Food, Commerce, Power, and Privatization.

The CCOP took the PC Board’s recommendation into consideration and suggested that Blue World’s bid of 10 billion rupees for the sale of 60% of PIACL’s shares be rejected. The bid was rejected by the CCOP, who chose to follow the PC Board’s advice.

The government’s determination to sell out PIACL through government-to-government or privatization was reaffirmed by the CCOP.

The CCOP was pleased with the Aviation Division’s evaluation of PIACL’s sound financial standing.

Additionally, the CCOP established a committee, chaired by the Minister of State for Finance, to assess potential transaction possibilities for the privatization of the Roosevelt Hotel and the appropriate modes of adoption in light of existing legal rules.

Prior to its subsequent meeting, the CCOP also ordered that all difficulties be resolved and an agreement for the selling of services to an international hotel be concluded.

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The KSE-100 Index has surged by 790 points, resulting in an all-time peak for the stock exchange.

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The benchmark KSE-100 Index increased by 790 points, marking a new all-time high for the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) at 94,982 points.

The record-breaking performance underscores a surge of optimism and investor confidence in the stock market.

As investors responded to favorable economic signals, the market experienced a significant increase of over 500 points in early trading. Later, the KSE-100 Index reached another record level of 94,786 points after adding 594 points to its upward trajectory.

This positive development comes as the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) foreign exchange reserves saw an increase of $84 million, reaching $11.26 billion during the week ending November 8, according to data released by the central bank on Thursday.

This represents an increase of 0.75% from the previous week. In addition, the nation’s total liquid foreign reserves experienced a modest increase, increasing by $33.7 million or 0.21% week-on-week to $15.97 billion.

In contrast, commercial banks’ reserves experienced a decline of $50.3 million or 1.06%, ultimately settling at $4.71 billion.

Furthermore, the economic team of Pakistan has expressed confidence in the discussions with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Minister of State for Finance Ali Pervaiz Malik, in an exclusive conversation with Samaa TV, claimed talks were moving in a positive direction.

Highlighting improvements in Pakistan’s economic conditions, Malik noted substantial progress over the past six months to a year. He emphasized that Pakistan’s current economic situation has seen significant enhancement, with a reduced current account deficit of only $100 million in the first quarter, a reflection of the government’s strategy to increase remittances and boost exports.

Malik shared that discussions with the IMF are primarily focused on external financing, and while there have been speculations about a potential mini-budget or an increase in the petroleum levy, he clarified that these are currently premature considerations.

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Positive IMF negotiations propel KSE-100 Index above 94,000 points

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2 days ago

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As a result of investors’ optimism about the reported progress in the continuing talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) experienced a robust surge.

The benchmark KSE-100 Index of the PSX, which tracks market sentiment, rose 713 points to a new record high of 94,068 points, breaking above the 94,000-point barrier, as the trading session began.

Early in the day, the stock market began its upward trajectory as the KSE-100 Index steadily rose, gaining 574 points to reach 93,932 points. A possible agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) might lead to more fiscal stability and back Pakistan’s economic reforms, which is why investors are so optimistic about the country’s future.

Officials from the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) informed the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Wednesday that the government would not be introducing a mini-budget and would instead continue to aim to collect Rs12,970 billion in taxes each year.

In line with continuing discussions with the Fund, FBR sources revealed that petroleum goods will not be subject to the General Sales Tax (GST).

The fact that Pakistan’s tax-to-GDP ratio has increased from 8.8% to 10.3%, a 1.5% gain viewed as a favorable sign of Pakistan’s fiscal policies, has reportedly pleased the IMF, who has voiced satisfaction at Pakistan’s recent economic performance.

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