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Govt unaware of full scope of current economic crisis: Miftah Ismail

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  • Miftah says majority of the issues are self-inflicted.
  • Pakistan’s economic woes are not caused by IMF, former finmin says.
  • Urges govt to raise minimum wage to match pace of inflation.

Former finance minister Miftah Ismail said that the coalition government is unaware of the full scope of the current economic crises, emphasising that Pakistan has “been facing a crisis persistently,” The News reported Friday.

Miftah — while speaking during a pre-budget discussion at Salim Habib University titled ‘Pakistan’s financial crisis and a way forward’ — said Pakistan’s economic issues were not caused by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), but rather by “the successive leaderships of the country”.

“Pakistan should not be where it is right now; two million shopkeepers pay Rs30,000 in taxes,” he said, warning that more economic issues will arise in the nation, and “we must draw lessons from them”.

‘Majority issues are self-inflicted’

Commenting on the delay in the revival of the IMF programme, he reiterated that Pakistan needs the IMF for the 24th time to avoid default.

Miftah said: “Pakistan was going through a very difficult economic time and the nation does not have the resources to pay its debts.

“We have to go for an IMF programme, if we don’t go, we will default and no one in the world will give us loans,” the former finance minister said.

He said the majority of the issues are, in fact, self-inflicted; however, getting out of the economic spiral will take some time.

Pointing to the lack of revenue, the former finance minister said that the country needed to take new loans to pay the interest on the previous loans. 

He added that when a country borrows to retire the previous loans, the debt of that country becomes unsustainable.

Minimum wages must be raised

Regarding the upcoming budget, the former finance minister suggested that minimum wage — which is currently at Rs25,000 — must be raised to keep pace with the exorbitant inflation rate.

“For the past 75 years, 90% of Pakistanis have experienced the effects of inflation; nevertheless, 10% of the middle class and elite today also experience price hikes,” he pointed out.

Pakistan’s inflation, based on the consumer price index, increased to a record high of 36.4% in April from 35.4% in the previous month. The increase in inflation was due to higher food inflation amid currency devaluation.

He noted that Pakistan has a higher inflation rate than India and Bangladesh. “Not all inflationary pressures can be attributed to the increase in prices worldwide,” he said, adding that Pakistan’s policy decisions were flawed.

Highlighting the need for increased provincial competition for better performance, the former finance minister demanded that more federal powers should be transferred to the provinces. 

He claimed that because the US adopted this strategy, its states’ economies fared better. 

Miftah suggested that a meeting should be held between all the political stakeholders in Pakistan to discuss the best course of action to rescue the nation from this current economic crisis.

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In interbank trade, the Pakistani rupee beats the US dollar.

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In the international exchange market, the US dollar has continued to weaken in relation to the Pakistani rupee.

The dollar fell to Rs278.10 from Rs278.17 at the beginning of interbank trading, according to currency dealers, a seven paisa loss.

In the meantime, there was a lot of turbulence in the stock market, but it recovered and moved into the positive zone. The KSE-100 index recovered momentum and reached 116,000 points after soaring 1,300 points.

Both currency and stock market swings, according to analysts, are a reflection of ongoing market adjustments and economic uncertainty.

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Phase II of CPEC: China-Pakistan Partnership Enters a New Era

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The cornerstone of economic cooperation between the two brothers and all-weather friends is still the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, the initiative’s flagship project.

In contrast to reports of a slowdown, recent events indicate a renewed vigour and strategic emphasis on pushing the second phase of CPEC, known as CPEC Phase-2, according to the Ministry of Planning, Development, and Special Initiatives.

According to the statement, this crucial stage seeks to reshape the foundation of bilateral ties via increased cooperation, cutting-edge technology transfer, and revolutionary socioeconomic initiatives.

Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal is leading Pakistan’s participation in a number of high-profile gatherings in China, such as the 3rd Forum on China-Indian Ocean Region Development Cooperation in Kunming and the High-Level Seminar on CPEC-2 in Beijing.

His involvement demonstrates Pakistan’s commitment to reviving CPEC, resolving outstanding concerns, and developing a strong phase-2 roadmap that considers both countries’ long-term prosperity.

At the core of these interactions is China’s steadfast determination to turn CPEC into a strategic alliance that promotes development, progress, and connectivity.

Instead of being marginalised, CPEC is developing into a multifaceted framework with five main thematic corridors: the Opening-Up/Regional Connectivity Corridor, the Innovation Corridor, the Green Corridor, the Growth Corridor, and the Livelihood-Enhancing Corridor.

With the help of projects like these, the two countries will fortify their partnership, and CPEC phase-2 will become a model of global economic integration and collaboration that benefits not just China and Pakistan but the entire region.

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The inflation rate in Pakistan dropped to its lowest level.

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On December 2, core inflation as determined by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) significantly slowed, falling to 4.9% in November 2024 from 7.2 percent in October 2024.

The CPI-based inflation rate for the same month last year (November 2023) was 29.2%, according to PBS data.

Compared to a 1.2% gain in the prior month, it increased by 0.5% month over month in November 2024.

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