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As a stepping stone for the IMF program, the tough and unpopular budget: Abdul Rahman

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After meeting all of the criteria set out by the lender in its annual budget, Pakistan is aiming to secure a staff-level agreement on an IMF rescue of over $6 billion this month, according to Reuters, who spoke with the country’s junior finance minister.

In an effort to secure a loan from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and prevent another economic collapse, the South Asian nation has set ambitious revenue objectives in its yearly budget, despite growing domestic unrest over new taxing policies.

Minister of State for Finance, Revenue and Power Ali Pervaiz Malik stated on Wednesday that the goal is to reach an agreement at the staff level before the IMF board takes a break, adding that they want to conclude the process within the next three to four weeks.

Regarding the package’s size, he stated, “I think it will be north of $6 billion,” though he stressed that the main focus right now was on the IMF’s accreditation.

With a fiscal deficit that dropped sharply to 5.9 percent of GDP from 7.4 percent the year before, Pakistan aimed for tax collection of 13 trillion rupees ($47 billion) for the fiscal year that started on July 1, a near-40 percent increase from the next year.

The goal of implementing a harsh and unpopular budget, according to Malik, was to pave the way for an IMF program, and the lender was pleased with the revenue measures implemented after their discussions.

Consumers hit hard by food export surge, trade imbalance in Pakistan falls 12.3 percent

“There are no major issues left to address, now that all major prior actions have been met, the budget being one of them,” added Malik.

The budget might get the go light from the IMF, but experts say it might make the public even more furious.

“Obviously they (budget reforms) are burdensome for the local economy but the IMF programme is all about stabilisation,” Malik pointed out.

Given Pakistan’s impending debt repayments and the aftermath of the unwinding of capital and import restrictions, economist Sakib Sherani of private firm Macro Economic Insights warned that the country’s currency and foreign exchange reserves would be under pressure unless the IMF and Pakistan reached a swift agreement.

“If it takes longer, then the central bank may be forced to temporarily re-instate import and capital controls,” he added. “There will be a period of uncertainty, and one casualty is likely to be the rally in equities.”

The benchmark share index of Pakistan climbed 1% during trading on Wednesday, hitting an intraday high of 80,348 points at 0640 GMT, a new record.

With persistent hope for a rescue package from the International Monetary Fund to support the faltering economy, the index has risen by about 10% since the budget was unveiled on June 12.

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In interbank trade, the Pakistani rupee beats the US dollar.

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In the international exchange market, the US dollar has continued to weaken in relation to the Pakistani rupee.

The dollar fell to Rs278.10 from Rs278.17 at the beginning of interbank trading, according to currency dealers, a seven paisa loss.

In the meantime, there was a lot of turbulence in the stock market, but it recovered and moved into the positive zone. The KSE-100 index recovered momentum and reached 116,000 points after soaring 1,300 points.

Both currency and stock market swings, according to analysts, are a reflection of ongoing market adjustments and economic uncertainty.

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Phase II of CPEC: China-Pakistan Partnership Enters a New Era

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The cornerstone of economic cooperation between the two brothers and all-weather friends is still the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, the initiative’s flagship project.

In contrast to reports of a slowdown, recent events indicate a renewed vigour and strategic emphasis on pushing the second phase of CPEC, known as CPEC Phase-2, according to the Ministry of Planning, Development, and Special Initiatives.

According to the statement, this crucial stage seeks to reshape the foundation of bilateral ties via increased cooperation, cutting-edge technology transfer, and revolutionary socioeconomic initiatives.

Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal is leading Pakistan’s participation in a number of high-profile gatherings in China, such as the 3rd Forum on China-Indian Ocean Region Development Cooperation in Kunming and the High-Level Seminar on CPEC-2 in Beijing.

His involvement demonstrates Pakistan’s commitment to reviving CPEC, resolving outstanding concerns, and developing a strong phase-2 roadmap that considers both countries’ long-term prosperity.

At the core of these interactions is China’s steadfast determination to turn CPEC into a strategic alliance that promotes development, progress, and connectivity.

Instead of being marginalised, CPEC is developing into a multifaceted framework with five main thematic corridors: the Opening-Up/Regional Connectivity Corridor, the Innovation Corridor, the Green Corridor, the Growth Corridor, and the Livelihood-Enhancing Corridor.

With the help of projects like these, the two countries will fortify their partnership, and CPEC phase-2 will become a model of global economic integration and collaboration that benefits not just China and Pakistan but the entire region.

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The inflation rate in Pakistan dropped to its lowest level.

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On December 2, core inflation as determined by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) significantly slowed, falling to 4.9% in November 2024 from 7.2 percent in October 2024.

The CPI-based inflation rate for the same month last year (November 2023) was 29.2%, according to PBS data.

Compared to a 1.2% gain in the prior month, it increased by 0.5% month over month in November 2024.

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